La traffic jam thanksgiving12/12/2023 Started in 1902 by automotive enthusiasts who wanted to chart a path for better roads in America and advocate for safe mobility, AAA has transformed into one of North America’s largest membership organizations. The Wednesday to Sunday period is consistent with previous years. The travel forecast presented in this report was prepared the week of October 10, 2022.įor purposes of this forecast, the Thanksgiving holiday travel period is defined as the five-day period from Wednesday, November 23 to Sunday, November 27. holiday travel volume and expected mode of transportation. In particular, AAA and S&P Global Market Intelligence forecast the total U.S. The travel forecast is reported in person-trips. travel behavior-all after the trips have been taken. households each month to obtain detailed travel data, resulting in the unique ability to estimate visitor volume and spending, identify trends and forecast U.S. The PERFORMANCE/Monitorsm is a comprehensive study measuring the travel behavior of U.S. Historical travel volume estimates come from DK SHIFFLET’s TRAVEL PERFORMANCE/Monitorsm. AAA and S&P Global Market Intelligence have quantified holiday travel volumes going back to 2000. These data include macroeconomic drivers such as employment output household net worth asset prices, including stock indices interest rates housing market indicators, and variables related to travel and tourism, including gasoline prices, airline travel, and hotel stays. The economic variables used to forecast travel for the current holiday are leveraged from S&P Global Market Intelligence’s proprietary databases. In cooperation with AAA, S&P Global Market Intelligence developed a unique methodology to forecast actual domestic travel volumes. Holiday Forecast Methodology: A Brief Overview I-80 West Maritime St to San Pablo Dam RdĮxpected Traffic by Metro & Corridor Metro Knowing when and where congestion will build can help drivers avoid the stress of sitting in traffic.”īest & Worst Times to Travel (by car) Date “Although travel times will peak on Wednesday afternoon nationally, travelers should expect much heavier than normal congestion throughout the holiday weekend. “Thanksgiving is one of the busiest holidays for road trips, and this year will be no different,” says Bob Pishue, Transportation Analyst, INRIX. To avoid the most hectic times, INRIX recommends traveling early in the morning on Wednesday or before 11am on Thanksgiving Day and avoiding travel between 4pm-8pm Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Highways in and around Atlanta, Chicago, New York City, and Los Angeles will be the busiest. metro areas, with some drivers experiencing more than double normal delays. INRIX expects severe congestion in several U.S. *20 have been the busiest years for Thanksgiving travel, respectively, since AAA started tracking in 2000.īusiest Corridors and Best/Worst Times to Travel If your schedule is flexible, consider off-peak travel times during the holiday rush.” “Regardless of the mode of transportation you have chosen, expect crowds during your trip and at your destination. That’s an increase of 23% from 2021 and 96% of the 2019 volume. “With travel restrictions lifted and more people comfortable taking public transportation again, it’s no surprise buses, trains, and cruises are coming back in a big way,” Twidale adds. More than 1.4 million travelers are going out of town for Thanksgiving by bus, train, or cruise ship. If possible, avoid checking a bag to allow for more flexibility if flights are delayed or you need to reschedule.”Īmericans are also ramping up travel by other modes of transportation. That’s an increase of more than 330,000 travelers and nearly 99% of the 2019 volume. “Airport parking spaces fill up fast, so reserve a spot ahead of time and arrive early,” Twidale suggests. While Thanksgiving road trips have slightly risen – up 0.4% from 2021 – car travel remains 2.5% below 2019 levels.Īir travel is up nearly 8% over 2021, with 4.5 million Americans flying to their Thanksgiving destinations this year. Nearly 49 million people are expected to travel by car. Most travelers will drive to their destinations, much like last year. “Plan ahead and pack your patience, whether you’re driving or flying.” “Families and friends are eager to spend time together this Thanksgiving, one of the busiest for travel in the past two decades,” says Paula Twidale, AAA’s Senior Vice President of Travel. This year is projected to be the third busiest for Thanksgiving travel since AAA started tracking in 2000*. That’s a 1.5% increase over 2021 and 98% of pre-pandemic volumes. (November 15, 2022) – AAA predicts 54.6 million people will travel 50 miles or more from home this Thanksgiving.
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